Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.105242 0.124763 0.146613 0.172842 0.203432 0.237939 0.279773
2025-02-02 0.075667 0.100939 0.132418 0.174328 0.228468 0.295834 0.385774
2025-02-09 0.058045 0.085091 0.121757 0.174705 0.248742 0.348048 0.490687
2025-02-16 0.047115 0.074764 0.114995 0.177131 0.269843 0.402012 0.603369
2025-02-23 0.040408 0.068689 0.112432 0.183995 0.296831 0.466176 0.737217
2025-03-02 0.032793 0.059467 0.103148 0.178536 0.303602 0.500346 0.829703
2025-03-09 0.027924 0.053705 0.098162 0.178670 0.318440 0.547704 0.947040
2025-03-16 0.023614 0.048027 0.092234 0.175997 0.327732 0.586489 1.054065
2025-03-23 0.021066 0.045088 0.090564 0.180332 0.349280 0.647591 1.204579
2025-03-30 0.018221 0.041012 0.086084 0.178683 0.359558 0.689859 1.326346
2025-04-06 0.015577 0.036833 0.080696 0.174382 0.364066 0.721848 1.432446
2025-04-13 0.013237 0.032849 0.075040 0.168621 0.364790 0.746523 1.527009
2025-04-20 0.011989 0.031137 0.073965 0.172363 0.385386 0.812032 1.707970
2025-04-27 0.010783 0.029298 0.072338 0.174712 0.403461 0.874683 1.890317
2025-05-04 0.009616 0.027322 0.070076 0.175291 0.417768 0.931155 2.065981
2025-05-11 0.008717 0.025849 0.068743 0.177772 0.436488 0.998581 2.270898
2025-05-18 0.008162 0.025183 0.069256 0.184671 0.465993 1.091830 2.539460
2025-05-25 0.007057 0.022762 0.064966 0.179195 0.465984 1.120757 2.671672
2025-06-01 0.006351 0.021340 0.063028 0.179330 0.479334 1.180684 2.878138
2025-06-08 0.005618 0.019679 0.060173 0.176648 0.485381 1.224453 3.052164
2025-06-15 0.005229 0.019015 0.059965 0.180998 0.509640 1.313025 3.337870
2025-06-22 0.004679 0.017705 0.057695 0.179344 0.518167 1.364898 3.541958
2025-06-29 0.004114 0.016217 0.054647 0.175027 0.519083 1.398274 3.704724